Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.008348 0.009838 0.011632 0.013985 0.017045 0.020970 0.026524
2025-06-22 0.006127 0.007762 0.009949 0.013193 0.018089 0.025590 0.038857
2025-06-29 0.005163 0.006866 0.009314 0.013289 0.020025 0.032015 0.058196
2025-07-06 0.004615 0.006379 0.009070 0.013787 0.022660 0.040920 0.090981
2025-07-13 0.004300 0.006156 0.009144 0.014777 0.026542 0.054866 0.157476
2025-07-20 0.003966 0.005834 0.008974 0.015256 0.029608 0.069539 0.264120
2025-07-27 0.003636 0.005462 0.008639 0.015310 0.031749 0.083868 0.430463
2025-08-03 0.003370 0.005159 0.008368 0.015417 0.034098 0.101801 0.757875
2025-08-10 0.003080 0.004778 0.007890 0.014949 0.034687 0.114128 1.208398
2025-08-17 0.002791 0.004368 0.007299 0.014092 0.033806 0.119356 1.702649
2025-08-24 0.002557 0.004035 0.006820 0.013409 0.033238 0.126127 2.562566
2025-08-31 0.002445 0.003913 0.006746 0.013701 0.036048 0.157211 7.802277
2025-09-07 0.002280 0.003693 0.006474 0.013523 0.037529 0.187076 36.588246
2025-09-14 0.002083 0.003397 0.006015 0.012770 0.036582 0.198407 183.654067
2025-09-21 0.001975 0.003261 0.005877 0.012862 0.039145 0.252029 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001906 0.003193 0.005876 0.013338 0.043806 0.358168 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001871 0.003188 0.006016 0.014283 0.051726 0.602502 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001808 0.003119 0.005999 0.014741 0.057747 0.940022 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001728 0.003009 0.005868 0.014792 0.061573 1.351227 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001658 0.002913 0.005759 0.014894 0.066030 2.074458 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001568 0.002768 0.005511 0.014447 0.066262 2.593616 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001468 0.002596 0.005179 0.013630 0.063144 2.649027 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001384 0.002450 0.004903 0.012977 0.061004 2.839705 NaN